Posts tagged Welcome
Big Hairy Predictions

 We in the consulting industry are very cautious as to the predictions that we make, despite often being asked to forecast future scenarios and outcomes.  A recent interview between the Freakonomics gents and academic Phil Tetlock included a quote that got me thinking, “That is indeed the $64,000 question: Why very smart people have been content to have so little accountability for accuracy in forecasting.”

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